Nouvelle étape par étape Carte Pour Daniel Kahneman Thinking Fast and Slow
Nouvelle étape par étape Carte Pour Daniel Kahneman Thinking Fast and Slow
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If that was all this book was, it’d just be another in a mass of books that have as their thesis “You’re wrong about that!” Which I appreciate knowing, but there’s a abscisse where it’s a little eye rolling parce que they cadeau’t offer any helpful suggestions je how not to Supposé que wrong, or why these parfait of wrongness exist and endure.
” Sunk-cost thinking tells habitudes to stick with a bad investment because of the money we have already lost on it; to au finish année unappetizing guinguette meal parce que, after all, we’re paying for it; to prosecute année unwinnable war because of the investment of Terme conseillé and treasure. In all cases, this way of thinking is rubbish.
System 1 generates answers to devinette without any experience of conscious deliberation. Most often these answers are reasonable, such as when answering the question “What you like a cheeseburger?” (Answer: yes). Plaisant, as Kahneman demonstrates, there are many condition in which the answer that springs suddenly to mind is demonstrably false.
A reliable way to make people believe in falsehoods is frequent repetition, because familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth.
A premortem attempts to counter optimism bias by requiring team members to imagine that a project oh gamin very, very badly and write a sentence or two describing how that happened. Conducting this exercise, it turns démodé, helps people think ahead.
Priming effects take many forms. If the idea of EAT is currently je your mind (whether or not you are conscious of it), you will Supposé que quicker than usual to recognize the word SOUP when it is spoken in a whisper or presented in a blurry font.
Baumeister’s group oh repeatedly found that année groupement of will pépite self-control is tiring; if you have had to force yourself to ut something, you are less willing pépite less able to exert self-control when the next conflit comes around. The phenomenon oh been named moi depletion.
Representativeness belongs to a cluster of closely related basic assessments that are likely to Quand generated together.
, a much slimmer capacité along much the same lines as this Nous. Whereas Lehrer’s focus is nous the neurology
What bothered me, rather, was that Kahneman was profuse in diagnosing cognitive errors, joli somewhat reticent when it came to the practical ramifications of these délicate, or to strategies to mitigate these errors.
Confiance bias vue up most blatantly in our current political divide, where each side seems unable to allow that the other side is right embout anything.
This is a very élémentaire case of visual fourvoiement where we see two lines of same dimension appearing to Lorsque of varying lengths. Even after knowing that they are equal and the erreur is created by the fins attached to them, our system 1 still impulsively signals that Nous-mêmes of them is longer then the other.
Some predictive judgements, like those made by engineers, rely largely nous lookup bureau, precise calculations, and explicit dissection of outcomes observed nous similar données. Others involve impression and System 1, in two dextre varieties:
remains aggressively accessible. There are a few repère where, thinking fast and slow pdf download if you don’t have a basic grasp of probability (and if Kahneman demonstrates anything, it’s that most people libéralité’t), then you might feel talked over (pépite maybe it’s those less-than-infrequent, casual remarque of “and later I won a Nobel Prize”). Ravissant this book isn’t so much embout savoir as it is embout people.